OTTAWA -- An increase in the supply of homes for sale will cut the pace of housing price increases by more than half next year, a major real estate firm predicted Wednesday.

"Homebuyers across the country will breathe a sigh of relief in 2007, thanks to a nationwide influx of new listings that is expected to slow price appreciation in major Canadian centres," RE/MAX said in its latest housing price outlook 

After four years of double-digit gains, the average price of a home is predicted to climb a modest five per cent to $290,000 next year, it said.

Still, all but three of the 17 cities it surveyed Kitchener-Waterloo, Ont., St. John's, N.L., and Charlottetown will see further home price increases next year ranging from three to 10 per cent, it said.

However, only two Calgary and Edmonton will see double-digit price gains again next year, and even in those cities the increases will be just barely in double digits, rising by 10 per cent in each, and only a fraction of the increases seen this year, the report forecast.

Both cities have posted substantial gains this year with prices in Calgary rising 40 per cent to an average of $350,000, and in Edmonton by 25 per cent to $265,900.

The report noted affordability, especially in those and other western cities, is eroding.

"Affordability is one of the more serious issues facing today's real estate consumer ... ," said Elton Ash, RE/MAX regional executive vice-president for Western Canada.

Buyers, however, are responding by considering alternatives to single-detached homes such as semi-detached and row housing, town houses, and condominium apartments, he said. The introduction of longer-term mortgages up to 35 years from the traditional 25 years is also helping buyers cover the higher costs.

However, a report earlier this week said the steady increase in house prices and mortgage rates in recent years has made renting relatively more financially attractive than buying. The Scotiabank report found the monthly mortgage payment on an average resale home has increased to $800 more than the monthly rent on a two-bedroom apartment, the largest gap in 16 years, and up from $575 last year and what was only $250 in 1997.

And RE/MAX forecast that, with few exceptions, there will be a decrease or at least no increase in sales next year, although demand will remain strong in all cities, it said.

While the outlook said the Canadian housing market will not deteriorate as the U.S. housing market has, Statistics Canada reported Wednesday that the housing sector has gone from being one of strongest leading economic indicators last spring to one of the weakest now.

However, RE/MAX forecast that nationally462,000 homes would be sold next year, making it the third best year on record, although that would be down four per cent from this year.

Strong economic fundamentals, especially high consumer confidence, low unemployment, and no further interest-rate increases, will continue to fuel healthy residential real estate activity across the country, it said.

The highest percentage increase in sales is expected to occur in Saskatoon, where sales are forecast to climb seven per cent, followed by Edmonton with a five percent increase, and then Regina and the Hamilton-Burlington market with increases of two per cent. Vancouver, Kelowna, B.C., Winnipeg, Ottawa, Montreal and Saint John, N.B., are all projecting sales volume on par with last year's levels.

© CanWest News Service 2006

 Vancouver city councillor wants to make sure poor aren't evicted as Olympics nears

Canada's housing market

both vigorous and stable

    - Country's market poised to show growth throughout 2006 -      TORONTO, Sept. 28 /CNW/ - For most of Canada, the housing market exhibited moderate price increases and stable unit sales during the third quarter. Wide regional variances continued to be the dominant characteristic in the market, exemplified by frenzied levels of activity and double digit price gains observed in the energy and commodity rich Western provinces, and more reasonable sales volumes and moderate price appreciation in Ontario, Quebec and Atlantic Canada, according to a report released today by Royal LePage Real Estate Services.     Nationally, market trends established through the first three quarters are forecast to continue for the remainder of the year. Robust economic conditions, low unemployment rates, modestly growing salaries and wages, and sound consumer confidence contributed to the overall strength of the residential real estate sector.     Of the housing types surveyed, the highest average price appreciation occurred in detached bungalows, which rose to $300,365 (+16.3%) year-over-year, followed by standard condominiums, which rose to $211,562 (+14.2%), and standard two-storey properties, which increased to $365,380 (+13.2%).     "Canada's sturdy housing market continued to demonstrate steady growth during the third quarter. For all but the west, we have moved on from the frenzied expansion that characterized the first half of this decade, and are poised to show continued growth at a more moderate pace," said Phil Soper, president and chief executive officer, Royal LePage Real Estate Services. "Gone is the sellers' market that we have lived with for some years. We welcome the more reliable conditions that are characteristic of a healthy balanced market."     Despite the double-digit rise in average national house prices, considerable regional variances were exhibited again this quarter. The shift to balanced market conditions, which began in late 2005, has continued throughout most of the Central and Eastern regions of the country. In the core energy producing western provinces, the combination of very high in-migration, manageable affordability, and a shortage of inventory has driven record breaking price appreciations.     Echoing the second quarter and supported by Alberta's rapidly expanding economy, Calgary and Edmonton led the charge of Canadian cities with the largest house price appreciation in all housing types surveyed.     In Ottawa and Toronto, growth remained steady, supported by solid economic fundamentals, an increase in available inventory and strong consumer confidence. While the pace of price appreciation in Ontario leveled off slightly, the province's real estate market remains poised for modest growth. In Atlantic Canada, new housing and condominium construction offered buyers greater selection at more competitive prices, resulting in a slower rate of price appreciation when compared with 2005.     While the pace of growth in Canada has slowed, the domestic housing market is expected to outperform the American market. The economic and financial fundamentals driving the residential real estate sector in Canada are markedly different than those found in the United States.     Added Soper: "Canada's housing market is likely to outperform the American market through 2007. A number of factors are working in Canada's favour, including healthy personal and governmental debt levels, the relatively modest rise in interest rates in our country, and general affordability in our major cities. In addition, Americans are now seeing the downside of a tax system that encourages maximum homeowner leverage, and aggressive financial products such as zero- and negative-amortization mortgages that work only in a high price growth environment."      <<                              REGIONAL SUMMARIES     >>      Balanced conditions continued to characterize the housing market in Halifax, as significantly higher inventory levels helped to moderate the rate of price appreciation. Buyers were increasingly choosy, taking more time looking for newer, low-maintenance properties that were not in need of renovations.     The housing market in Moncton remained healthy and strong as a slight increase in inventory helped to moderate the rate of price appreciation compared to the same period in 2005. Activity was brisk throughout August and September and is expected to remain this way through the fourth quarter.     The housing market in Saint John underwent its traditional summer slowdown in the third quarter, with activity picking up towards the end of the quarter. The local economy continued to thrive, as construction on a new 600,000 square-foot shopping area has begun, bringing several new box stores to the area. Buyers have begun seeking less expensive fixtures for their homes and are instead opting for more affordable housing options.     In Charlottetown, the housing market started to move towards balanced conditions, as some sellers had to begin to lower the asking prices on their homes to make them more competitive. Activity from out-of-town and US buyers was down slightly compared to 2005, likely attributable to the strong Canadian dollar. Inventory levels began to creep up in the third quarter, providing buyers with more options when looking for a home.     Activity in St. John's slowed slightly in the third quarter, particularly among higher-priced properties, where there was a slight over-supply of homes priced over $200,000. Listing periods have increased when compared with 2005, as some of the pent-up demand that had characterized the market over the last few years has been satisfied, resulting in more normal, balanced conditions.     Montreal's housing market recorded modest increases in average house prices, due to a slight seasonal slowdown in the third quarter as inventory levels rose. Part of this can be attributed to the fact that many renting first-time buyers were motivated to close on the purchase of a home by July 1, when rental leases expire in Quebec. Once this date has passed some of the pressure is taken off the market, allowing buyers to visit more homes before making a purchase.     Ottawa held its position as one of the country's most stable housing markets in the third quarter, reinforced by a vibrant local economy and strong confidence, resulting in modest increases in average house prices. The city centre remained a bright spot in Ottawa, with homes in this area attracting attention due to their convenient location and proximity to downtown amenities.     The housing market in Toronto sustained healthy activity levels throughout the third quarter, as a strong economy helped to maintain demand across the city, causing average house prices to rise moderately. Toronto has continued to experience modest growth in average house prices, and has been driven primarily by purchasers who are buying homes as their principle residence, rather than for investment.     The vibrant Winnipeg housing market continued to show its strength as house prices rose during the third quarter. The booming local economy resulted in a historically low unemployment rate, helping to bolster consumer confidence and Winnipeg's ranking as the city with the lowest capitalization rate among the country's larger cities - helped to encourage buyers to enter the market.     In Regina, the market experienced a slight seasonal slowdown through July, as there were fewer purchasers in the market due to summer vacations. In August, activity resumed to the busy pace previously seen in the spring months, as the influx of purchasers made it more difficult to find a home due to the shortage of available inventory.     Activity in Saskatoon remained brisk as the market maintained its momentum from the busy spring sales period. The economy in Saskatoon remains vibrant, as employment opportunities are abundant with many businesses struggling to make hires and having to recruit outside the province.     Calgary's housing market recorded blazing average house price increases in the third quarter, in all surveyed categories. The burgeoning economy, low unemployment rates and low inventory levels remained the leading factors that pressured Calgary's house prices upwards. However, regardless of the soaring prices that characterized the market - even during the typically slower summer season - it is expected that activity will become slightly more balanced, as buyers are becoming more reluctant to participate in the frenetic activity.     Edmonton's booming local economy continued to thrive in the third quarter as activity in the oil sands north of the city continued to flourish. Edmonton remained the hub of activity for those coming to work in the oil industry, maintaining tight inventory levels across the city, resulting in prices increasing at record levels. However, as inventory levels continued to improve in the third quarter the rate of price appreciation should moderate slightly towards the end of 2006.     While Vancouver has seen a slight reprieve from the severe shortage of inventory that had previously characterized the market, supply is still unable to meet demand, driving house prices upwards. Vancouver has a very diverse group of active buyers - from first-time home buyers to baby-boomers to foreign investors - all of whom fuel the demand for houses, placing added pressure on tight inventory levels.     Victoria's market is vibrant and supported by strong economic fundamentals, fuelled by a booming tech sector and a migration of young people into the city that has continued to support the area's house price increases; while increased inventory levels have afforded buyers more time when searching for a home, helping to normalize the market's pace.      <<       Survey of Canadian Average House Prices in the Third Quarter 2006      -------------------------------------------------------------------------                  Detached Bungalows                Standard Two Storey     -------------------------------------------------------------------------                      2006 Q3     2005 Q3    Bungalow     2006 Q3     2005 Q3     Market           Average     Average    % Change     Average     Average     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Halifax          186,333     173,333        7.5%     198,667     199,000     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Charlottetown    145,000     141,000        2.8%     175,000     170,000     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Moncton          135,000     127,000        6.3%     129,000     123,000     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Saint John       141,200     142,900       -1.2%           -           -     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     St. John's       143,667     142,667        0.7%     200,667     202,333     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Atlantic         150,240     145,380        3.3%     175,833     173,583     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Montreal         213,691     203,500        5.0%     321,141     316,185     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Ottawa           290,083     278,417        4.2%     285,667     273,250     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Toronto          373,368     355,882        4.9%     481,523     474,766     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Winnipeg         181,579     159,860       13.6%     202,337     180,707     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Saskatchewan     170,667     156,083        9.3%     182,600     166,500     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Calgary          395,067     252,411       56.5%     405,778     264,389     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Edmonton         286,857     194,857       47.2%     316,429     206,714     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Vancouver        704,250     601,000       17.2%     794,000     697,500     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     Victoria         375,000     348,000        7.8%     403,000     391,000     -------------------------------------------------------------------------     National         300,365     258,202       16.3%     365,380     322,860     -------------------------------------------------------------------------      -------------------------------------------------------------                                Standard Condominium     -------------------------------------------------------------                     2-Storey     2006 Q3     2005 Q3       Condo     Market          % Change     Average     Average    % Change     -------------------------------------------------------------     Halifax            -0.2%     142,000     103,000       37.9%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Charlottetown       2.9%      98,000      98,000        0.0%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Moncton             4.9%           -           -         N/A     -------------------------------------------------------------     Saint John           N/A           -           -         N/A     -------------------------------------------------------------     St. John's         -0.8%     146,333     145,667        0.5%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Atlantic            1.3%     128,778     115,556       11.4%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Montreal            1.6%     193,190     188,016        2.8%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Ottawa              4.5%     181,083     172,250        5.1%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Toronto             1.4%     252,088     242,918        3.8%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Winnipeg           12.0%     105,648      96,008       10.0%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Saskatchewan        9.7%     106,250     101,000        5.2%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Calgary            53.5%     245,844     153,867       59.8%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Edmonton           53.1%     200,433     131,500       52.4%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Vancouver          13.8%     366,250     323,250       13.3%     -------------------------------------------------------------     Victoria            3.1%     229,000     220,000        4.1%     -------------------------------------------------------------     National           13.2%     211,562     185,296       14.2%     -------------------------------------------------------------     >>      Average house prices are based on an average of all sub-markets examined in the area, except for the smaller markets of Charlottetown, Moncton, Saint John and Victoria.      The Royal LePage Survey of Canadian House Prices is the largest, most comprehensive study of its kind in Canada, with information on seven types of housing in over 250 neighbourhoods from coast to coast. This release references an abbreviated version of the survey, which highlights house price trends for the three most common types of housing in Canada in 80 communities across the country. A complete database of past and present surveys is available on the Royal LePage Web site at www.royallepage.ca, and current figures will be updated following the end of the third quarter. A printable version of the third quarter 2006 survey will be available online on November 15, 2006.     Housing values in the Royal LePage Survey are Royal LePage opinions of fair market value in each location, based on local data and market knowledge provided by Royal LePage residential real estate experts. Historical data is available for some areas back to the early 1970s.      About Royal LePage      Royal LePage is Canada's leading provider of franchise services to residential real estate brokerages, with a network of over 12,500 agents and sales representatives in 600 locations across Canada operating under the Royal LePage, Johnston and Daniel, and Realty World brand names. Royal LePage manages the Royal LePage Franchise Services Fund, a TSX listed income trust, trading under the symbol "RSF.UN". For more information visit www.royallepage.ca.    
For further information: For the regional market highlights or to contact a spokesperson, please contact: Tiffany Fisher or Kate Langan, Mansfield Communications Inc., Phone: (416) 599-0024, or E-mail: 
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The Fairmont Pacific Rim will be a new hotel and condominium building in Vancouver, British Columbia.

The hotel, part of the Fairmont Hotels and Resorts chain, will be located at 299 Burrard Street in Downtown Vancouver by the Burrard Inlet waterfront. Right beside the Shaw Tower, it will also be attached to the current Vancouver Convention & Exhibition Centre expansion site. It will stand at 140 m or 42 storeys tall and will feature both a hotel and condominiums. Completion is planned for 2008 before the 2010 Winter Olympics.